Perspectives

SBTi Corporate Net-Zero Standard V2.0

A plain-language walk through the whole standard — what it requires, what changed, and where carbon credits, removals and durability actually land.

  • Verified mitigation: conservative, ex-post quantification; additionality; reversal-risk safeguards (monitor, address, compensate); independent accredited assurance; permanent retirement at claim.

The post-2035 mandate — flagged "illustrative" C45

From 2035, Category A companies must support eligible removals (avoidance excluded) covering 1% → 100% of ongoing Scope 1–3 by their net-zero year C45.1. Section 6.5 explicitly calls this requirement illustrative — it "sets the intention" and "will be reviewed in the next major revision (Version 3)" before it takes effect. Treat the percentages as direction, not locked rules.

Durability is gas-matching, not a quota C45.4 C46.2

A "phased-in durability" ramp: long-lived removals ≥10% of the covered emissions attributable to long-lived GHGs in 2035, rising linearly to 100% by net-zero C45.4. At net-zero C46.2, residual long-lived GHGs (fossil CO₂, N₂O) must be neutralised with long-lived removals; only the short-lived-GHG residuals (e.g. methane) stay flexible. Scope 1 is direct; Scope 3 can be shared with written agreements; Article 6 host-country authorization is reported C46.6.

The door SBTi left open C45.4 fn.75

The standard commits to a Call for Evidence on whether shorter-lived (nature) removals can deliver climate-equivalent permanence and neutralise long-lived GHGs "through contractual, financial, or stewardship mechanisms." So the role of high-integrity, well-buffered nature past 2035 is genuinely still being designed.

What it means for nature-based removals

  • Right side of the line. ARR is a removal; the 2035 mandate is removals-only. Avoidance (REDD+, cookstoves) is out of the mandate — it stays eligible only in the voluntary OER program.
  • Timing is the opportunity. Mandatory removal demand ramps from 2035; a forest financed today matures into exactly that window.
  • But position honestly. The durable-share bar rises every year, and at net-zero fossil-CO₂ residuals need durable removals. Sell ARR as near-term removal supply + OER contribution, not as a permanent fix for someone's fossil emissions.
  • Ex-post, financed forward. Only realised, verified tonnes are claimable C26.2d; forwards/offtakes are the way to fund the 10–20-year lead time.
  • Integrity is the moat. The C42 bar (additionality, do-no-harm/FPIC, reversal management, independent verification) rewards exactly the high-integrity, community-first model.
  • Adjacent channel. "Insetting" via activity pools — landscape/agricultural interventions within a supply shed C21.2 C25 — is a separate, target-eligible route worth a dedicated look.

The dates that matter

  • 11 Jun 2026 — V2.0 published (final).
  • 1 Feb 2027 — V2.0 effective; validation portal opens Q1 2027; public OER declaration at every validation.
  • End-2027 — Version 1 closes for new target setting.
  • 2028 — Next-cycle (2030–2035) target setting under V2.0 begins.
  • 2035 — Removals become mandatory for Category A (≥10% durable share) — subject to V3 review.
  • ≤ 2050 — Net-zero year: 100% coverage; all residuals neutralised, durability-matched.
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